This weekend, we have a card in Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate competitions available for this Fight Night card, which can be rare for all these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I’ll be pursuing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs too. But this week DraftKings has two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Flight, hotel, and fights all paid for. The floor chairs contest is a $33 entrance and the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entry. I am going to need to take a few shots at that too. Also, DraftKings simply released a competition for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That is unquestionably the greatest prize we’ve seen in DFS MMA, so let us build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to shoot some additional shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the strongest triumph on the card and that I believe she gets this battle finished early. That is where I am starting my cash LUs weekly. Just give me the -1100 favored who is being fed an easy win , for my cash games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites with this particular card, I just are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she’s fine in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, so money games would be the best place to get your Souza investment nowadays. Simply take this triumph, then find 3 others and you should be good in money games.
GPP drama of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a large Charles“Do Bronx“ Oliveira fan, and he’s some of my own favorites submissions in UFC history. I think we can see another amazing one here. This battle appears to be simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and if he can get it then he probably gets a 1st round sub. If that happens he must lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty confident in being the results of this struggle, so that’s why he’s my GPP drama of the week. He is also my GPP play of this week, and not my Money play of the week for a reason. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll probably quit and get finished himself together with strikes. I don’t enjoy that risk of a reduced floor because of my own money LU, therefore I prefer Souza there. But in GPPs I enjoy saving the $200 and moving down to perform Bronx.
Underdog drama of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders a lot more if he was not carrying this fight on short notice, and if it was not in Brazil. But he does have a clear route to victory here and that is by knocking outside Santos who doesn’t possess a great chin. Anders could also opt for takedowns in this fight and he could win with a few hard GNP as well. At $7.6k he will almost surely end up on the winning LU when he’s able to acquire the KO. This is the major event, so he will have 5 rounds to work with. I do think this is a solid matchup for Anders, however he must be competitive and never hang out to the outside. If he hangs out on the exterior too long Santos will eat up him with kisses and it might be a short night for Anders. I will pick him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it done in the first two rounds with a KO. This will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you can get your additional five spots right as well.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it, if that happens here. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO triumph to pay off a 9.2k salary from a guy who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points from Alvey if I roster him and the only real way get caught that’s using a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each struggle, my personal approaches & recommendations, and my selection prediction for every single fight then you can discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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